Thursday, November 29, 2007

11/30 - 11/31 Preview and Review

Last week:
Brian's-Trejo I pick Trejo Winner-Trejo
Brian's-Baldomir I pick Baldomir Winner-Baldomir
And, that was it. The Brian's went 2-0 and I went 2-0 also.

On to this week. A little bit more action this week, with a Telefutura card and two Showtime cards. On Telefutura, we start with Yory Boy Campas vs. Fernando Vela in what will probably be an 8 round Middleweight matchup. Campas was born in Colonia Moderna, Mexico and fights out of Navojoa, Mexico. He is 90-10-0 and 36 years old. As you can tell, he has been around forever. He once held the Light Middleweight Championship and defended it four times. He fought for it and the Welterweight title several more times, but all of that is some time behind him. In his last fight he won a very close decision over Norberto Bravo, of Contender fame. I thought Bravo might have won it, but it was very close. I have seen him fight four times. He is nothing spectacular, but he does enough to beat guys that aren't any good. He is a solid type. He has fought Oba Carr, Fernando Vargas, Daniel Santos, Oscar De La Hoya, John Duddy, and more, but he has lost to almost every good fighter he has faced. He is currently rated 4th in the All-Time Light Middleweight rankings and 12th in the Active ratings. Vela (getting hit) was born and fights out of Ciudad Acuna, Mexico. He is 6-10-1 and is 27. He is a late sub for this fight. He last fought in August, losing a decision to Victor Lares, for the second fight in a row. Lares is not much of a name, but along with Jesus Gonzales, that's all he has fought. He is rated 205th on the All-Time Super Middleweight rankings and 158th in the Active ratings. This is an opportunity to get a name guy on the card, an old guy to beat up on a tomato can. The Brian's put this at Campas 929.3 over Vela 454.8. I have no doubt it will be Campas.
Next Up, Roberto Garcia vs. Freddy Hernandez in a 12 round Welterweight fight. Garcia was born in Reynosa, Mexico and fights out of Weslaco, TX. He is 24-2-0 and 27 years old. In his last fight he won a unanimous decision against a terrible Vance Garvey in September. I have seen him fight once unmemorably. He lost to Ian MacKillop, but he beat Juan Carlos Rubio, those are the only real people he has fought. He is currently rated 64th in the All-Time Light Middleweight rankings and 28th in the Active ratings. Hernandez was born and fights out of Mexico City, Mexico. He is 22-1-0 and is 28. He last fought in June, winning a foul fest ( photo at right) against Ben Tackie. I have also seen him fight once unmemorably. In addition to the Tackie fight, he also beat Jesus Soto Karass, and he lost to Golden Johnson, both better than the guys Garcia has fought. He is rated 115th on the All-Time Welterweight rankings and 20th in the Active ratings. This looks like two fairly evenly matched guys looking to step up a little and keep on the climb up the ladder. The Brian's put this at Hernandez 834.9 over Garcia 825.6. I think I am going to take Hernandez, based on higher quality opposition.
The other Friday night card is on Showtime. We Start with Alfredo Angulo vs. Archak Ter-Meliksetian in an 8 round Light Middleweight bout. Angulo was born in Mexicali, Mexico and fights out of Coachella, CA. He is 10-0-0 and 25 years old. In his last fight, in September, he TKO'd also undefeated Emmanuel Gonzalez in the second round. He fought for Mexico in the 2004 Olympics. I saw the Gonzalez fight, but nothing really stands out about it. The Gonzalez fight was his first step out of loserdom as far as opposition goes, and Gonzalez seemed to be a fairly even matchup. He is currently rated 249th in the All-Time Middleweight rankings and 55th in the Active ratings. Ter-Meliksetian was born in Armenia and fights out of Paterson, NJ. He is 16-5-0 and is 29. He last fought a little over a year ago, losing a unanimous decision to a pretty decent Jose Luis Cruz. I have seen him beaten twice, by Nurhan Suleymanoglu and Sergio Mora. I think he eats a lot of punches and is not particularly skilled. He has also fought and lost to Sechew Powell and Giovanni Lorenzo, all decent guys. He is rated 103rd on the All-Time Welterweight rankings and 70th in the Active ratings. So, this is an up and coming Olympian fighting a decent name who has fought all kinds of class opposition. This would be a huge step up for Angulo, but it is tempered by Ter-Meliksetian's long layoff. I see rust in his future. The Brian's put this at Angulo 699.8 over Ter-Meliksetian 694.1. If Ter-Meliksetian had been active, I would take him, but instead, I'll take Angulo.
In the ShoBox Main Event, James Kirkland vs. Allen Conyers in a 10 round Light Middleweight bout. Kirkland fights out of Austin, TX. He is 20-0-0 and 23 years old. In his last fight, in September, he knocked out Mohamed Said in two rounds. 11 of his last 12 and 17 out of 20 overall have been knockouts. I have seen him fight twice and he definitely packs a heavy punch. He comes forward and keeps throwing. He has recently stepped up the quality of his opposition, with Said, Ossie Duran, and Billy Lyell and Allen Conyers is probably in the same class. He is currently rated 152nd in the All-Time Middleweight rankings and 17th in the Active ratings. Conyers (on the right) fights out of the Bronx. He is 11-2-0 and is 31. He last fought in February, knocking out Derek Ennis in the second. 9 of his 11 wins have been by knockout, including his last three. But, 1 of his two losses was by KO in the third to the just a bove average Maximino Cuevas. I have seen him fight twice, but he doesn't having any outstanding characteristics. His recent opposition has been decent, Derek Ennis, Russel Jordan, Delvin Rodriguez, but not up to the level of Kirkland. He is rated 140th on the All-Time Light Middleweight rankings and 74th in the Active ratings. So, two heavy hitters going at it. The difference, though, Kirkland has never been knocked out, Conyers has. Kirkland has also beaten people in Conyers class, Conyers has never fought anybody in Kirkland's class. The Brian's put this at Kirkland 864.5 over Conyers 686.0. Once again, they should be right. I pick Kirkland.
Saturday gives us a decent three fight card on Showtime. We start with Nonito Donaire vs. Luis Maldonado in a 12 round fight for a Flyweight World Championship. Donaire was born in Talibon, Phillipines and fights out of San Leandro, CA. He is 18-1-0 and 25 years old. He was the 2000 US Champion and Lost in the Olympic Trials Finals to Brian Viloria. This is his first defense of the IBF Flyweight title that he won from Vic Darchinyan with a 5th round TKO in July. I have seen him fight twice. He caught Darchinyan napping, but he packs a pretty decent punch. 3 of his last 4 fights have ended early. In addition to Darchinyan, he also fought and beat quality journeyman Oscar Andrade. He is currently rated 17th in the All-Time Flyweight rankings and 10th in the Active ratings. Maldonado was born in Ocotlan, Mexico and fights out of Mexicali, Mexico. He is 37-1-1 and is 29. He last fought in October, winning a unanimous decision over Sergio Espinoza. I have seen him once, getting hammered by Vic Darchinyan. He has beaten a lot of guys nobody has ever heard of. He is rated 4th on the All-Time Flyweight rankings and 2nd in the Active ratings. This is a young guy coming up, making his name off Darchinyan and big punches fighting a record guy. The Brian's put this at Maldonado 900.2 over Donaire 812.3. I'll go for the rising star, Donaire.
Next, we get Antonio Tarver vs. Danny Santiago in a 12 round fight for a lame Light Heavyweight title. Tarver was born in Orlando and fights out of Tampa. He is 25-4-0 and 39 years old. He was the 1993 and 1995 US Champion and took the bronze medal in the 1996 Olympics. In his last fight he won a majority decision over a good-but-not-great Elvir Muriqi. I have seen his last seven fights. When he is on, he is great, beating Roy Jones two out of three and winning his rematch with Glen Johnson. But lately, against Hoipkins and Muriqi, he has looked slow, old, and beatable. Only Hopkins was able to take advantage of that, though. He is long and lanky, with a fluid punch that despite its effects on Roy Jones, is not that powerful. He has fought all kinds of quality opposition and was the Light Heavyweight Champion of the world for a time. He is currently rated 53rd in the All-Time Light Heavyweight rankings and 9th in the Active ratings. Santiago fights out of Ocala, FL. He is 29-3-1 and is 34. He last fought in January, getting knocked out by Light Heavyweight champ Zsolt Erdei. He has beaten some decent people, including the same Muriqi Tarver just beat. He is rated 111th on the All-Time Light Heavyweight rankings and 35th in the Active ratings. So, an oldie but a goodie trying to maintain the luster by beating up on a guy just below top level. The Brian's put this at Tarver 945.8 over Santiago 794.5. I'll go for the oldie, Tarver.
And in the main event, we get Vernon Forrest vs. Michele Piccirillo in a 12 round fight for a Light Middleweight World Championship. Forrest was born in Augusta and fights out of Atlanta. He is 39-2-0 and 36 years old. He took silver at the 1991 World Championships (and beat Piccirillo) and fought on the 1992 Olympic team. This is his first defense of the WBC Light Middleweight title that he won from Carlos Baldomir with a lopsided decision in July. Since I have been keeping track, I have seen him fight three times. He has a really good jab, good speed, decent power. I think he has fully recovered from the injury that took a couple of years away from him earlier. He formerly held the World Welterweight belt, losing it and the rematch to Ricardo Mayorga. He has fought plenty of top notch competition, beating Sugar Shane Mosley twice, Carlos Baldomir, Vince Phillips, Raul Frank, and Ray Oliveira. He is currently rated 7th in the All-Time Light Middleweight rankings, 3rd in the Active ratings, and 23 in the Active Lb. 4 Lb Ratings. Piccirillo was born in Bari, Italy and fights out of Modugno, Italy. He is 48-3-0 and is 37. In addition to the aforementioned 1991 World Championships, he also fought in the 1992 Olympics. He last fought in July, winning a decision over noname Sylvain Touzet. He took the Welterweight belt by beating Cory Spinks after Forrest vacated, then lost it to Spinks in the rematch. He has fought a lot in Europe against nonames, but he also lost to Ricardo Mayorga in a title fight and Soren Sondergaard, and beat Rafael Pineda, so he does have some chops. He is rated 10th on the All-Time Light Middleweight rankings and 4th in the Active ratings. This is two old guys fighting for a belt, but one has been fighting good opposition recently, the other has been beating stiffs recently. The Brian's put this at Forrest 1028.9 over Piccirillo 986.4. I don't think it will be that close. Give me Forrest.
In review, the Brian's take
Campas-----------I pick Campas
Hernandez--------I pick Hernandez
Angulo------------I pick Angulo
Kirkland----------I pick Kirkland
Maldonado--------I pick Donaire
Tarver------------I pick Tarver
Forrest-----------I pick Forrest

1 comment:

Carolyn B. said...

I assume Hernandez dot a headbutt? Ouch!

I pick Forrest in his fight. I like him. I didn't like Tarver beating Roy Jones but he is ok.

thanks for the pictures. Good analysis. Your record is great!