Thursday, January 24, 2008

1/25 - 1/26 Preview and Review

A tough week for me:
The Brian's picked Martinez, I picked Martinez, Winner Martinez
Brian's picked Soto Karass, I picked Soto Karass, Winner Soto Karass
Brian's picked Bailey, I picked Bailey, Winner Bailey
Brian's picked Davis, I picked Davis, Winner Fields
Brian's picked Corley, I picked Alexander, Winner Alexander
Brian's picked Golota, I picked Mollo, Winner Golota
Brian's picked Karmazin, I picked Karmazin, Winner Bunema
Brian's picked Jones, Jr., I picked Jones, Jr., Winner Jones, Jr.
So that's 5-3 for me and the Brian's and we were 4-2 when we agreed and 1-1 when we didn't.
This week is pretty slim pickings. Telefutura hasn't decided who there co-feature is, there is no ESPN card and there is only one HBO fight as they will be reshowing the Jones, Jr.-Trinidad fight. So, not much to predict this weekend, but let's see what we do. The Telefutura Main Event is a 12 round Flyweight bout between Hugo Fidel Cazares and Kermin Guardia. Cazares was born in and fights out of Los Mochis, Mexico. He is 25-4-1 and 29 years old. He was a longtime Light Flyweight Champ before losing it in his last fight against the undefeated and very classy Ivan Calderon by split decision in August. I have never seen him fight, but he has some good names on the resume; Calderon, Wilfrido Valdez, Nelson Dieppa twice, Alex Sanchez, and Gerson Guerrero. Prior to the Calderon fight he had won 5 straight before the final bell. He is currently ranked 7th in the All-Time Light Flyweight ratings and 3rd in the Active ratings. Guardia was born in Turbo, Colombia and fights out of Miami. He is 37-7-0 and 38 years old. He has been a World Champion at Light Flyweight and Minimumweight. His last fight was a majority decision loss to the decent Juan Esquer. I have seen him fight three times, though nothing particularly stands out about him. He has fought some quality, Esquer, Jose Carita Lopez, Jose Antonio Aguirre, Nelson Dieppa, Juan Alfonso Keb Baas, Rosendo Alvarez, Ricardo Lopez among them. He is ranked 5th in the All-Time Light Flyweight ratings and 6th in the Active ratings. This is two guys moving up a bit in weight. One of them is young and developing, the other is old and slipping. Guardia has the experience and has fought the tougher guys, but I think Cazares is on the rise. The Brian's pick Cazares 858.9 over Guardia 778.3. I will also take Cazares.
The HBO fight is a 12 round Heavyweight fight, Alexander Povetkin vs. Eddie Chambers. Povetkin was born in Kursk, Russia and fights out of Chekov, Russia. He is 14-0-0 and 28 years old. He won the 2003 World Championships and the 2004 Olympic Gold Medal for Russia. He was also recently featured as the NEXT big thing by ESPN the Magazine. His last fight was an 11th round TKO against the World Class but slipping Chris Byrd in October. I have never seen him fight, but his last two fights have been against high quality but fading opposition, Byrd and Larry Donald. He is currently rated 212 All-Time for Heavyweights and 53rd in the Active ratings. Chambers was born in Pittsburgh and fights out of Philly. He is 30-0-0 and is 25. His last fight he suprised me by winning a split decision against a very good Calvin Brock, going against my prediction. I have seen him fight four times, including his last three. He is not great, he is more of a mover and a pattycake puncher then a heavy handed type, but he has been getting it done against increasingly qualified opponents. Think Chris Byrd, but bigger and less defensive minded. He is currently rated 97th in the All-Time Heavyweight ranking and 22nd in the active Heavyweight ratings. This is a good fight between two guys who are on the rise. One who made a big name in the amateur ranks, the other who has been making it in the pro ranks. The Povetkin TKO of Byrd may prove to be of particular note against Chambers who is in the same mold. The Brian's pick Chambers 945.9 over Povetkin 834.7. I am hard pressed here. I think Chambers is outmatched, but he has beaten better guys his last two times out. I picked against him last time and he showed me up. I don't think he will do it again though. I'll take Povetkin.
To review, the Brian's pick:
Cazares---------I pick Cazares
Chambers-------I pick Chambers.
And here's your chance, if you missed the Jones, Jr. fight, both HBO fights should be good ones.

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